Despite the promise by the Minister of Power, Works and Housing, Mr. Babatunde Fashola, in October 2018 that nationwide power supply could get better with the anticipated addition of 945MW of electricity into the grid before the end of the year, the average power supply in January 2019 was below the December 2018 level, THISDAY’s investigation has revealed.
A data obtained from the office of the Vice President, Prof. Yemi Osinbajo, showed that the average power generated and distributed to Nigerians in the first one month of 2019, was 3,952 megawatts (MW), representing a decline from the level of generation in December 2018, by 141MW or 3.4 per cent. According to the data from the Advisory Power Team in Osinbajo’s office, electricity supply in December 2018, averaged 4,093MW. However, 3,020MW was constrained from getting to homes and offices in the country, while an average of N44.9 billion worth of revenue was not earned by the market.
To attain this level of generation, 22.713 million standard feet per day (mmscfd) of gas supplied. However, in January 2019, the average volume slightly dropped to 3,952MW with 2,782MW constrained, N41.3 billion unearned and 21.472mmscfd of gas supplied, indicating a drop in gas supply to power plants by 1.241mmscfd. Fashola had promised that the nationwide power supply could get better with an additional 945MW of electricity expected to be added to the national grid before the end of 2018.
Power generation peaks at 4,987MW as capacity constraints persist – Daily Trust
The national electricity grid peaked at 4,987 megawatts (MW) last Friday, showing improvement in the generation. But capacity constraints in the power sector have persisted, limiting the attainment of expected national demand of over 20,000MW. A daily power generation report by the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) yesterday, shows the highest power generated on Friday was 4,987MW while the lowest was at 3,874MW.
The Independent System Operation (ISO) arm of TCN wheeled 102,376 megawatt-hours (MWh) of the generation to the 11 Distribution Companies (DisCos) for delivery to the end users. A tempo of 4,222MW peak generation was sustained on Saturday is the second day of February, the data showed. However, it was not clear if the quantum lasted all through the day to adequately create an impact on customers’ demand.
Observations of the one-month electricity generation data posted by TCN indicates that for the most part of the day, power generation falls to an average of the peak generation when scheduled power loads are in high demands nationwide. The national peak demand forecast of power consumption by the ISO is far more than the current power generation. There is expected 23,960MW of electricity demand to meet the nation’s need. But our analysis shows that the 4,900MW generation on Friday is less than a quarter of the current demand forecast.